19 January 2026
President Díaz-Canel has warned Washington in a fiercely nationalistic speech that it will not be possible to achieve any understanding or negotiation with Cuba based on “coercion.” He said, however, his government is willing to engage in a dialogue with the US if it is undertaken on the basis of “equality” and “respect.”
Addressing huge crowds gathered in Havana near the US Embassy on the second and final day of well-attended tributes to the 32 members of the Cuban military killed on 3 January when US forces seized the Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, and his wife Cilia Flores, he said: “There is no surrender or capitulation possible, nor any kind of understanding based on coercion or intimidation. Cuba does not have to make any political concessions, and that will never be on the table for negotiations for an understanding between Cuba and the United States.”
“This commitment to peace in no way diminishes our readiness to fight in defence of sovereignty and territorial integrity. Should we be attacked, we would fight with the same ferocity bequeathed to us by generations of brave Cuban combatants, from the wars for independence in the 19th century, through the Sierra Maestra, the underground resistance, and Africa in the 20th century, to Caracas in this 21st century. As has been the case for more than six decades, he observed, this will not change, and if required Cubans will fight with “unity and fierceness.”
Wearing the olive-green uniform of the head of Cuba’s National Defence Council, a legal requirement in wartime or general mobilisation, he said that Cubans are not at all afraid of the US and do not like being threatened or intimidated. We are, he said, “Like the rushes knotted in the centre of the shield, unity is the most powerful weapon of our Revolution.”
His comments however were tempered by realism about the domestic economic challenge now facing Cuba and the need to retain national unity. Observing that this had been present in all Cuban victories and that “every time the patriotic forces were divided, we lost,” but “every time they united, we triumphed,” Díaz-Canel stressed that “The enemies of the nation know this well, and that is why they are trying to break that unity.”
Cuban government and Cubans shocked by US intervention
President Díaz-Canel’s comments came at the end of two weeks that shocked the Cuban government and most Cubans, saw government, to some effect, invoke their sense of nationalism, identity, and history, and created global uncertainty about the Trump Administration’s future intentions towards the island. Just as significantly, the US intervention in Venezuela raised questions about the Cuban government’s ability to sustain its already weak economy and maintain social stability if it cannot find alternative sources of oil and the foreign exchange required to meet its daily requirements for power and fuel.
Although one day after the US intervention President Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One “We are talking with Cuba and you will know very soon” about US objectives in relation to the island, Trump later warned that Cuba will no longer receive more oil or money from Venezuela. Writing on his Truth Social network he suggested that the island has been “living for years” off Venezuelan money and crude oil in exchange for the “security services” provided for Presidents Hugo Chavez and Nicolás Maduro and this would not continue. Cuba, he said, should “reach an agreement before it’s too late.”
Speaking about Cuba in a Venezuela-related radio interview with Hugh Hewitt for the Salem News Channel and affiliates on 8 January, President Trump appeared to amplify this, suggesting that a US military intervention was unlikely, but he hoped for a transition through economic collapse. “I don’t think much more pressure can be exerted, short of going in and wrecking the place,” he said when asked if he would authorise a naval “quarantine” similar to that imposed on Venezuela. Questioned if he thought that President Díaz-Canel could “fall” he told Hewitt “Yes, Cuba is hanging by a thread. Cuba is in serious trouble.”
Responding to the US President’s assertion that Washington had been in an early dialogue with Havana, President Díaz-Canel refuted Trump’s suggestion. Cuba’s Foreign Minister, Bruno Rodríguez, also rejected his comments. Writing on X he said that the Cuban government “does not receive and has never received” monetary or material compensation for security services provided to any country.” Rodríguez also noted that Cuba “has the absolute right to import fuel from those markets willing to export it and that exercise their own right to develop their commercial relations without interference or subordination” from Washington’s “unilateral coercive measures.”
Díaz-Canel provides a first indication of government’s response
Speaking a few days later at a series of pre-planned plenary sessions of the provincial committees of the Cuban Communist Party (PCC) held in Granma and Holguín, but later in every province, President Díaz-Canel, provided a first indication of how Cuba intends to respond.
“In the face of the empire’s threats, Cuba will continue to consolidate its preparedness for defence and its work in the economic and social sphere.” “This is a historic stage,” he said, “where we have to reach a higher level in the functioning of the Party, the State, the Government, our institutions, the youth, the mass organisations, the administrations, business activity, and by appealing to all the alternatives we have to continue moving forward.”
Stressing the need for Cuban preparedness and defence readiness, he particularly emphasised the need to restore rapidly economic growth and earn foreign exchange. Priority, he said, will be given to the “effective implementation of the Government’s economic reform programme aimed at revitalising the economy.” We are on a productive offensive to bring in more foreign currency, to export more, to produce more nationally, because this situation, is reaffirming what we have to do,” he told the Communist Party meetings.
Cuba facing an uncertain future without rapid economic change
In the two days that followed the repatriation of the remains of the Cubans who died fighting US forces in Venezuela, large numbers of Cubans queued in Havana to mourn and pay tribute and attend the marches and rallies that took place there and in many other cities.
Although many of the details about the US military operation ‘Absolute Resolution’ are still emerging, the US intervention to remove President Maduro and his wife resulted in the deaths of 32 Cubans guarding the Venezuelan President and of senior intelligence and liaison officers at other locations attacked by the US. Some of the Cubans injured in the reportedly fierce fighting that took place subsequently returned to Cuba to be welcomed home at Havana’s Jose Marti Airport as heroes by the Cuban President and all leading members of the Cuban Communist Party, the military, and Government.
However, less certain is the extent to which many citizens and especially the young’s views coincide with those of the large numbers of Cubans who serve in, or remain committed to the military and Communist Party or who would be prepared to fight for their country under Cuba’s military defence doctrine of a war of all the people.
Sadness, patriotism, and supressed anxiety
Ten days after the US intervention in Venezuela it is hard to determine broader public reaction beyond an immediate sense of sadness, patriotism, and supressed anxiety, as many ordinary Cubans now fear that recent developments could lead to a direct conflict with the US, or a further deterioration in their already diminished living standards. It is equally difficult to see how Cuba can create the rapid economic growth now needed or, despite President Díaz-Canel’s comments, accelerate the delivery of the relatively limited macro-economic reforms that government first enunciated in late 2023.
It is also unclear the extent to which exhortation will work in a country where much needed economic reform that benefits ordinary Cubans continues to be held back by the over-regulation of the islands embryonic private sector, and bureaucracy, poor management, and failing agriculture, confound the progress sought by the island’s more liberal academic economists seeking a market oriented socialist economy.
The Cuban government also has yet to explain how a country already struggling with daily blackouts and shortages will be able to to replace and finance at world market prices its once important but now severely diminished subsidised source of energy supply from Venezuela.
19 January 2026, Issue 1308
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Image Reference: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/cuba/article314183625.html
Cuba’s leader Miguel Díaz-Canel during a rally in support of Nicolás Maduro, on January 3, 2025, following news of his extraction by U.S. forces to face charges of narco-terrorism in the United States. Office of The Cuban President.