Caribbean Insight
The Caribbean Council's Flagship Fortnightly Publication
Caribbean Insight is The Caribbean Council’s flagship fortnightly publication. Our comprehensive publication offers the latest in news, analysing business and political developments across the region.
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Lead Articles Featured on Caribbean Insight
10 April 2026
Jamaica’s tourism sector is regaining momentum following the devastation of Hurricane Melissa, with the reopening of several major hotel properties signalling a decisive phase in the island’s recovery.
Key resorts including Half Moon in Montego Bay and Bahia Principe in Runaway Bay have resumed operations, restoring hundreds of rooms, reviving employment, and reinforcing confidence in the sector’s resilience.
Tourism Minister Edmund Bartlett said the recovery has now surpassed 80% of pre-hurricane levels, driven by the steady return of hotel capacity and visitor arrivals. “Yesterday, we brought back 660 rooms to the inventory, and today we bring back a little over 200… we will be now over 80% in the recovery of arrivals into the country,” said Bartlett at the reopening of the Eclipse property at Half Moon.
Hurricane Melissa, which struck in October 2025 as a Category 5 system, caused an estimated US$12.2bn in damage, more than half of Jamaica’s GDP, and forced widespread hotel closures, particularly along the north coast. In Montego Bay alone, 12 major hotels were shuttered, with some reporting that more than 80% of staff were directly affected.
The reopening of Eclipse at Half Moon marks a significant milestone. The luxury property has restored 57 beachfront rooms, alongside upgraded amenities including an infinity-edge pool, restaurants, and reimagined villas. While only part of the resort has reopened, additional rooms are expected on stream later this year.
Half Moon Managing Director Shernette Crichton underscored the human dimension of the rebuilding effort. “Hurricane Melissa came through Western Jamaica like a thief in broad daylight and took things from us that we never imagined we could lose… But look around today, every team member here is proof that Melissa did not get the last word,” she asserted.
Minister Bartlett stressed that employment restoration remains central to the recovery strategy. “Jobs mean income, and income means the ability to provide for your families… and that is the critical purpose of this recovery,” he said.
Further east in St Ann, the reopening of Bahia Principe Runaway Bay has added 664 rooms back into Jamaica’s accommodation stock and reinstated 800 jobs. The development was hailed as a major boost to both tourism capacity and community livelihoods.
Tourism Director Donovan White noted that the return of both rooms and workers reflects broader momentum across the destination. “The return of these 664 rooms and 800 team members represents the kind of momentum we have been building across the destination,” he said. “We are seeing strong and sustained interest in Jamaica from our major markets… Jamaica is open, Jamaica is ready, and we are welcoming the world back with the authentic hospitality that defines us,” proclaimed White.
The recovery has been supported not only by hotel reopenings but also by expanded air connectivity. Increased flights from Latin America, Europe, and traditional North American markets have strengthened visitor inflows, with new routes from Colombia and enhanced service from the UK contributing to demand growth. Officials report that over 70,000 visitors arrived in the first week of the winter season alone, with projections indicating that arrivals could reach 95 to 98% of pre-storm levels by the end of 2026.
The interplay between airlift and accommodation capacity has become a central pillar of the recovery strategy. As Bartlett noted, “The whole purpose of our being and building tourism is driven by air connectivity… We’re bringing the airlines here so that when more rooms come on, more airlines are going to be interested in coming.”
Tourism remains a cornerstone of Jamaica’s economy, contributing roughly 30% of GDP and employing about one-fifth of the workforce. The sector also underpins a wide network of linked industries, including agriculture, transportation, and entertainment.
Other major hotel chains, including Sandals Resorts International, RIU Hotels & Resorts, Moon Palace Resorts, and Jamaica Inn, have already resumed operations, further accelerating the recovery trajectory. Additional reopenings are planned later in 2026, with at least one major property expected to add hundreds more rooms and jobs.
Bartlett framed the broader recovery in national terms. “When tourism thrives, Jamaica thrives. When hotels like this one reopen, families eat. Communities prosper. The entire nation moves forward.”
While challenges remain, particularly in achieving full capacity restoration and strengthening climate resilience, the reopening of flagship properties signals that Jamaica’s tourism industry is firmly on a path to recovery.
Photo Credit: Half Moon Resort – https://www.halfmoon.com/
Source: Caribbean Insight – Volume 48, Issue 7
Friday 27 March 2026
Trinidad and Tobago is positioning for a significant rebound in natural gas production by 2027, as a wave of upstream projects led by global energy majors bp and Shell moves toward completion, signalling a potential turning point after years of declining output.
According to company reports and government statements, several major developments—including bp’s Ginger and Mento projects and Shell’s Manatee and Aphrodite fields—are expected to deliver first gas within the same window, boosting supply, export capacity and fiscal revenues.
bp confirmed the scale of its upcoming contributions in a statement. “Ginger will be our fourth subsea project in the country and will be tied back to our existing Mahogany B platform. First gas from the project is expected in 2027… At peak, the development is expected to have the capacity to produce average gas production of 62,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d).”
The company also highlighted additional near-term output gains from its infill drilling programme, with the infill programme “expected to deliver around 19mmboe, with the first gas expected in 2027.”
Shell, meanwhile, underscored the strategic importance of its parallel investments. “Aphrodite, together with Manatee, will help sustain Trinidad and Tobago’s gas industry into 2030,” the company said, adding that both projects are expected to come onstream in 2027. At peak, Aphrodite is projected to produce about 18,400 boe/d, while Manatee could reach 104,000 boe/d.
These developments are expected to stabilise a sector that has faced persistent declines in recent years. bp reported that its net natural gas production in Trinidad and Tobago fell from 1,191 in 2023 to 1,045 in 2025, reflecting ongoing challenges in mature fields and underinvestment in new capacity.
Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar has framed the upcoming surge as evidence of renewed momentum in the energy sector. “Good news! Strong signs of growth ahead for Trinidad and Tobago’s energy sector,” she said, adding that her “Government has been working diligently on strengthening energy security since entering office, and we are seeing tangible results from that focus.”
She further emphasised the broader macroeconomic implications, arguing that “after years of decline, this signals increased gas output, greater energy stability, and more revenue and economic activity.”
However, the anticipated recovery has also become a point of political contention. Former Energy Minister and Prime Minister Stuart Young has argued that the projects underpinning the expected surge were largely initiated under the previous administration.
“There is not a single new initiative that Energy Minister Dr Roodal Moonilal has conceptualised or is responsible for that has led to any increased oil or gas production since May 2025,” Young stated, pointing to developments such as Manatee, Aphrodite, Ginger and Mento as legacy projects.
“The reports of Shell and BP’s expected increased gas production in 2027 are all the work done by the PNM government… all our work,” he further asserted.
Beyond political debate, industry data suggests that the current pipeline of projects is critical for revitalising the wider energy services sector. A recent survey by the Energy Chamber found that 60% of firms reported below-normal business activity in early 2026, reflecting reduced upstream investment and fewer high-value projects.
The report noted that while maintenance-based “brownfield” activity has dominated in recent years, major greenfield developments such as Manatee, Aphrodite, Ginger and the Coconut project are expected to provide much-needed stimulus as they move through construction and into production.
The Energy Chamber also highlighted that “the execution of these major projects is proceeding as planned,” reinforcing confidence that the 2027 timeline remains achievable.
In parallel, government initiatives such as the proposed Energy Accelerator Hub aim to streamline approvals and bring projects onstream more quickly, potentially improving investment flows and local content participation.
Global market dynamics are also providing support. Energy Minister Roodal Moonilal noted that higher oil prices, driven by geopolitical tensions, have already boosted revenues. “Today Brent oil prices are at US$92… that means our revenue position just increased by US$4mn per month,” he noted.
Looking ahead, the convergence of multiple large-scale gas projects in 2027 represents a rare synchronised expansion of Trinidad and Tobago’s upstream sector. If delivered on schedule, this surge could restore production levels, strengthen LNG exports and reinforce the country’s role as a key energy supplier in the Atlantic Basin.
At the same time, the sustainability of this recovery will depend on continued investment, efficient project execution and the ability to navigate both domestic political dynamics and an increasingly complex global energy landscape.
Source: Caribbean Insight – Volume 48, Issue 6
Friday 13 March 2026
Three Caribbean leaders were among a select group invited to the inaugural Shield of the Americas Summit hosted by US President Donald Trump in Doral, Florida, an event that has sparked both support and controversy across the region.
The gathering brought together leaders from 12 Latin American and Caribbean nations to discuss regional security cooperation, migration pressures and strategies to dismantle drug cartels operating across the hemisphere.
Guyana’s President Mohamed Irfaan Ali, Trinidad and Tobago’s Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar, and Dominican Republic President Luis Abinader were the only Caribbean heads of government invited to attend.
According to White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, the summit was designed to strengthen collaboration among regional governments confronting similar challenges.
The summit culminated in the signing of the Doral Charter, which established a new security framework known as the Americas Counter-Cartel Coalition (ACCC). The coalition aims to coordinate military, intelligence and law-enforcement efforts among participating nations to combat drug cartels and transnational criminal networks.
During his address to leaders, President Trump framed the initiative as a decisive response to growing criminal activity across the hemisphere. “Every leader here today is united in the conviction that we cannot and will not tolerate the lawlessness in our hemisphere any longer,” Trump said.
He also urged regional governments to adopt stronger security measures against cartels. “The only way to defeat these enemies is by unleashing the power, our militaries, we have to use our military. You have to use your military,” declared Trump.
The US President further emphasised the coalition’s aggressive stance against organised crime. “The heart of our agreement is a commitment to using lethal military force to destroy the sinister cartels and terrorist networks once and for all,” Trump said during the signing ceremony.
Trinidad and Tobago and Guyana formally joined the new coalition during the summit. The move marks a significant shift in regional security cooperation, placing these Caribbean nations more directly within a US-led security architecture.
Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar defended the decision to participate in the coalition, describing it as a strategic move to address rising crime across the Caribbean. Speaking to members of the Trinidadian diaspora in Florida after the summit, she said joining the coalition would be “in the very best interest of the entire CARICOM, the whole region.” She also praised the US president’s leadership. “We had the distinct honour to really meet with President Trump. He’s a very brave man. He’s a very courageous man because he’s doing what needs to be done, not only for USA but for the world,” she said.
Guyana’s President Irfaan Ali strongly endorsed the initiative, citing the long-standing impact of drug trafficking on Caribbean development. “We agree totally with President Trump. The region itself has made many public comments in relation to drug cartels operating and using our airspace, using our exclusive economic zone,” said Ali in an interview during the summit.
He argued that criminal networks have undermined regional stability and economic progress. “This is not something that was there yesterday. We have always complained about this, and President Trump has taken a direct approach on this issue,” said Ali.
The Dominican Republic emerged as a key partner within the initiative. President Luis Abinader signed the Charter of Doral, positioning his country as a strategic security partner within the new alliance. Abinader said that it would strengthen existing regional security collaboration. “We already maintain a very special role in security matters with intense cooperation; through this programme, that collaboration will become even greater,” he stressed.
Beyond security, Guyana used the summit to advance its growing energy partnership with the US. Ahead of his meeting with President Trump, President Ali held talks with US Energy Secretary Chris Wright to discuss collaboration aimed at strengthening hemispheric energy security. Secretary Wright underscored Guyana’s strategic importance to Washington’s energy agenda. “This is our backyard. We want strong partners, strong nations and strong energy production. Guyana is a huge part of this strategy.”
Despite the participation of several regional governments, the summit has drawn criticism from some analysts and policymakers. Major regional powers such as Brazil, Mexico and Colombia were absent, raising questions about the coalition’s broader legitimacy and geopolitical implications. Still, the participation of Guyana, Trinidad and Tobago and the Dominican Republic highlights the Caribbean’s growing strategic importance in hemispheric security and energy discussions.
Source: Caribbean Insight – Volume 48, Issue 5
Friday 27 February 2026
Prime Minister Mia Mottley has unveiled a reconfigured Cabinet days after her Barbados Labour Party (BLP) secured a landslide election victory, taking all 30 parliamentary seats.
Ministers and some senators were sworn in at CARIFESTA House, before the country’s recently installed second President, Jeffrey Bostic, marking the start of the administration’s third consecutive term in office.
At the swearing in of the new government, Mottley attempted to pre-empt criticism; asserting that her team is designed for delivery, accountability and performance in a changing domestic and global environment.
Among the most closely watched appointments is the return of former Democratic Labour Party (DLP) heavyweight Chris Sinckler, whom Mottley has until recently heavily criticised as being one of the architects of Barbados’ “lost decade”.
Sinckler joins the government as a senator and senior minister of foreign affairs and foreign trade. Fellow former DLP minister Michael Lashley also re-enters Cabinet as minister of legal affairs and criminal justice. Their inclusion has fuelled fierce debate among BLP faithful, but underscores Mottley’s willingness to draw talent across party lines.
Defending the expanded and reshaped Cabinet, Mottley said the configuration was intentional and execution-focused. “The Cabinet that is being sworn in today is not just a list of names. It is a structure that has been deliberately balanced, carefully chosen and repurposed to face the current realities of our moment today with strategic focus,” she told the swearing-in ceremony.
Key portfolios were elevated to reflect that priority. Mottley linked a new investment portfolio to economic resilience. “If you ask me why we have a dedicated minister for investment, public and private, it is because our tax base, while our tax collection is doing well, our tax base remains tenuous, and our progress depends on our ability to continue to drive investment, local and foreign investment,” she argued.
The Cabinet retains Santia Bradshaw as Deputy Prime Minister, now Minister of Environment, National Beautification and Fisheries, and leader of government business in the House of Assembly. Kerrie Symmonds takes Energy, Business Development and Commerce as senior minister coordinating the productive sector, while Kirk Humphrey is promoted to Transport and Works and senior minister coordinating infrastructure. Ian Gooding-Edghill and Chad Blackman return as Minister of Tourism and International Transport and Education, respectively.
Ryan Straughn is elevated to full Finance Minister replacing Prime Minister Mottley, Kay McConney assumes public service and talent development, and Lisa Cummins is appointed Minister of Health and Wellness and leader of government business in the Senate.
Mottley acknowledged public frustration with state services, arguing that citizens judge government by lived experience rather than policy documents. “One of the biggest frustrations is often not policy in the governance of this country. It is about the pace of execution,” she said, adding that people care about “whether the bus is coming on time or not… whether the lights stay on, whether their water is running and clear and not brown.”
Noted Caribbean political scientist Peter Wickham described the Cabinet as a sign of political maturity. “I think the big surprise to a lot of people was both Chris and Lashley’s inclusion,” he said, while noting that Sinckler’s foreign affairs experience could prove valuable. On Cabinet size, Wickham observed that it “is actually the smallest Cabinet that she has had,” suggesting consolidation and confidence in leadership.
Beyond Cabinet formation, President Bostic also moved to appoint Senate seats amid the absence of a parliamentary opposition, appointing Ryan Walters and Karina Goodridge as opposition senators after what he described as extensive deliberation.
A further point of contention surrounding the Senate appointments was the DLP’s decision to submit only two names, despite President Bostic formally requesting four nominations. Under normal circumstances, the opposition leader advises the President on Senate appointments. However, since the governing party holds all House of Assembly seats, there was no opposition leader to exercise that role.
The new administration moved quickly to set its legislative agenda, tabling several bills aimed at governance reform and institutional strengthening. Chief among them was a Constitution (Amendment) Bill on party defections, introduced by Prime Minister Mottley, which would require Members of Parliament elected on a party ticket to vacate their seats if they formally change political allegiance.
With ministers sworn in, legislative priorities progressing, and economic reforms promised, the new government has signalled that its third term will focus less on stabilisation and more on performance, productivity and execution across the state.
Photo Credit: https://www.gov.bb/Government/prime-minister
Source: Caribbean Insight – Volume 48, Issue 4
Friday 13 February 2026
Guyana has presented its largest national budget on record, with Finance Minister Ashni Singh tabling a GY$1.558tn (US$7.48bn) fiscal package in parliament.
Themed “Putting People First,” Budget 2026 is the first by the ruling People’s Progressive Party/Civic since its landslide victory in the September 2025 elections, and is 12.7% larger than the previous year’s budget.
In a six-hour presentation to the National Assembly, Singh said the budget is designed to ensure Guyana’s rapid growth delivers tangible benefits. “Budget 2026 is designed to translate sustained economic expansion into tangible investments that improve livelihoods, strengthen communities, and modernise national infrastructure,” he said.
Guyana’s economy grew by 19.3% in 2025, while the non-oil economy expanded by 14.3% across agriculture, mining, construction, manufacturing and services.
Housing, education and agriculture dominate the expenditure framework. Housing programmes are allocated roughly US$763mn, supporting expanded access to affordable homes, infrastructure upgrades and subsidies for home improvement.
Education receives about US$881mn, earmarked for new and rehabilitated schools, teacher training, and skills development aligned with a modern, diversified economy. Agriculture and agro-processing are allocated around US$544mn, aimed at strengthening food security, boosting rural livelihoods and supporting value-added production.Infrastructure investment remains one of the largest spending items, with US$941mn set aside for roads, bridges and transport networks to improve national connectivity and support commerce. The energy sector will receive about US$573mn, focused on lowering electricity costs, improving reliability and supporting industrial growth.
Singh said these allocations are not routine spending items, describing them as “investments that build the foundation of a more prosperous and secure society.”
Social protection also features prominently. Around US$376mn is earmarked for children, women, the elderly and vulnerable groups, alongside US$36mn for Amerindian community development. Measures to boost household incomes include higher old-age pensions, increased public assistance, and the continuation of the National Cash Grant, which provides a cash transfer to every adult Guyanese.
Tax relief measures were another headline announcement. Singh confirmed that the income tax threshold will rise to GY$140,000 (US$671) per month, removing 5,000 people from the tax net. “This will result in the removal of 5,000 persons from the tax net whilst adding over GY$2bn [~US$9.6mn] in disposable income to workers,” he said.
Additional measures include the removal of net property tax on individuals and the elimination of VAT on selected locally produced goods, vehicles below 1500cc, and certain hybrid vehicles. The government also outlined steps to reduce the cost of vehicle ownership by removing duties and taxes on outboard engines and ATVs.
Oil revenues continue to underpin the fiscal framework. Budget documents project US$2.4bn in profit oil and US$375mn in royalties from the ExxonMobil-operated Stabroek Block in 2026. Withdrawals from the Natural Resource Fund are projected to increase steadily, climbing from US$2.37bn this year to US$2.62bn in 2027, then to US$2.92bn in 2028, reaching US$4.33bn by 2029. However, the fund’s balance is forecast to grow to US$11.7bn over the same period, reflecting surging petroleum revenues.
The opposition has strongly criticised the budget. Opposition Leader Azruddin Mohamed argued that size alone does not guarantee improved welfare. “The Government wants the nation to believe that because the budget is the largest in our history it will automatically produce the best outcomes, but bigger budgets do not equal better lives,” he said, accusing the administration of failing to adequately address cost-of-living pressures.
Singh rejected those criticisms, insisting the fiscal package is carefully targeted and growth-oriented. “These are not expenditures of convenience, they are investments in productivity, resilience, and a better Guyana, a Guyana where all can prosper, and a Guyana where ability and effort are rewarded,” he told Parliament.As Guyana approaches its 60th independence anniversary, Budget 2026 marks an ambitious, oil-backed push to continuously reshape the economy—one the government insists will put people first, but which will face intense scrutiny as implementation unfolds.
Source: Caribbean Insight – Volume 48, Issue 3
30 January 2026
In a major financial manoeuvre aimed at refinancing maturing debt and strengthening its fiscal outlook, the Government of Trinidad and Tobago has successfully issued a US$1bn 10-year senior unsecured sovereign bond.
The transaction, which matures on 28 January 2036, and carries a 6.50% coupon, was oversubscribed by 2.5 times, drawing over US$2.4bn in demand from international investors.
The bond, arranged by JP Morgan and Bank of America, will pay interest semi-annually and is intended primarily to refinance a US$1bn bond due in August 2026, originally issued under former Finance Minister Colm Imbert in 2016.
The remainder of the proceeds will be used to support general budgetary needs. The new issuance extends the country’s external debt maturity profile, increasing the average maturity from 4.1 to 6.3 years.
Finance Minister Davendranath Tancoo hailed the issuance as a major success, both in fiscal terms and as a statement of confidence in the country’s economic management. “The successful issuance represents a clear validation of the sovereign’s credit fundamentals and new disciplined policy framework,” said Tancoo.
“Achieving pricing tighter than benchmarks, while also attracting an order book 2.5 times the final issue size in the US market, reflects sustained investor confidence in the credit and improved risk perception of the new Government of the Republic of Trinidad & Tobago,” the Finance Minister added.
The announcement comes at a time when Trinidad and Tobago carries negative outlooks from both Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s. Despite this, the bond attracted strong and diversified investor demand, with over 144 unique investors, up from 93 in the 2024 issuance. During the three-day roadshow starting 16 January, Tancoo and Central Bank Governor Larry Howai met with more than 50 global fixed-income investors. When books opened in New York, demand surged quickly.
Tancoo underscored that the bond “leverages over 140 unique orders from top accounts” and that the transaction “meaningfully enhances the country’s funding profile and supports continued engagement with global investors on increasingly favourable terms.” He also pointed out the achievement of “the largest bond transaction in the past ten years for the Republic of TT” and “the largest order books in the last five years of US$2.4bn despite two negative ratings outlooks.”
Pricing ultimately compressed by 20 basis points from initial guidance, closing at 98.552%, 54.6 basis points tighter than the 2016 issuance it replaces. Compared to other recent Caribbean bond issues, Trinidad and Tobago’s terms appear favourable. “The Bahamas…went to market with a ten-year US$1.67bn bond…with a coupon rate of 8.25%. Barbados…with a fixed rating of B+ went to market with a US$500mn bond…at 8%. Additionally, Dominican Republic’s 12-year US$2bn bond generated a 6.9% coupon,” Tancoo noted.
He concluded that “international investors continue to place Trinidad and Tobago in a higher quality bucket even amid elevated global rates and recent outlook revisions.” However, some analysts point out that recent and expected US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts likely played a role.
The bond was issued under Rule 144A and Regulation S, targeting qualified institutional buyers in the US and international markets. As per standard practice, the notes are exempt from local taxes and exchange controls, ensuring smooth trading in global markets.
However, the road ahead is not without risk. S&P recently affirmed the country’s BBB- rating but revised the outlook to negative, warning of possible downgrades within six to 24 months without reforms to strengthen public finances and bolster non-energy growth.
Tancoo acknowledged these challenges but insisted that the government is addressing them through a combination of tax reform and energy-sector partnerships. “We have been putting in place measures for that exact purpose…we expect that those revenue streams…would be generating sufficient foreign exchange so that when the bond becomes due in fiscal 2026, that the country will be in an appropriate comfortable place to meet its financial obligations.”
The bond issuance marks another chapter in Trinidad and Tobago’s evolving presence in global capital markets. Once a darling of investors during the energy boom years, the country’s creditworthiness has since been dented by energy sector decline, fiscal slippage, and foreign exchange constraints. Yet, this oversubscribed bond demonstrates that the country still commands strong investor interest—albeit at a higher cost.
In today’s global environment, every basis point matters. On a US$1bn issuance, a 50 basis point increase translates to an additional US$5mn annually in interest expense. As one analyst summarised, “Trinidad and Tobago remains creditworthy, but creditworthiness is not binary, it is priced on a continuum.”
Source: Caribbean Insight – Volume 48, Issue 2
16 January 2026
Pressure is mounting on Caribbean governments after the US announced that it will suspend immigrant visa processing for 75 countries including several from the region.
The list, published by several international media outlets, includes Antigua and Barbuda, Barbados, Cuba, Dominica, Grenada, Haiti, St Kitts and Nevis, St Lucia and St Vincent and the Grenadines, but notably excludes Trinidad and Tobago which has become a closer US ally in the ongoing US tensions with Venezuela.
The US State Department, under Secretary of State Marco Rubio, announced that as of 21 January, consular officers will pause immigrant visa processing for nationals deemed likely to become “public charges.”
“The Trump administration is bringing an end to the abuse of America’s immigration system by those who would extract wealth from the American people,” State Department spokesman Tommy Pigott said. The pause will not apply to applicants seeking non-immigrant visas for temporary travel such as tourism or business.
The move comes even as four Caribbean countries—Antigua and Barbuda, Dominica, St Kitts and Nevis and St Lucia—have controversially agreed to accept asylum seekers and third-country migrants expelled from the US. Other countries such as Guyana are in talks with the US, while Barbados has not ruled out a similar agreement.
Dominica Prime Minister Roosevelt Skerrit acknowledged that his government “has entered into an agreement to facilitate third-country refugees to be sent to Dominica.” He tied the decision to the 16 December executive order that placed Dominica under partial travel restrictions, saying, “This engagement is based on our responsibility to safeguard the well-being of our people… while strengthening cooperation between our two governments.”
Skerrit admitted that these are “careful deliberations,” though opposition leader Joshua Francis strongly criticised the lack of transparency. “The UPP believes this agreement has the potential to further destabilise our nation economically, socially, and from a security standpoint,” said Francis.
Antigua and Barbuda, meanwhile, framed its arrangement as a “non-binding Memorandum of Understanding.” Prime Minister Gaston Browne stated his country would consider no more than 10 asylum seekers per year, with strict case-by-case assessments and rejection of individuals with criminal records. “This was not a concession, nor an attempt to trade people or curry favour. It was a measured diplomatic gesture,” the government said.
St. Kitts and Nevis Prime Minister Terrance Drew confirmed a limited agreement—but explicitly excluded Haitians. “This does not involve anybody outside of CARICOM,” Drew said, adding that “because of security matters, it does not include Haiti at this time.” His comments have sparked backlash, particularly as St Kitts currently chairs the CARICOM bloc.
Similarly, Guyana is working toward a “unique” framework to accept skilled migrants with no criminal records. “This is not a case where the US would be dumping people in Guyana,” said Foreign Secretary Robert Persaud, noting the country’s oil-fuelled economic transformation has created a need for 70,000 to 80,000 skilled workers.
St Lucia’s Prime Minister Philip Pierre also confirmed his government approved an MOU to potentially accept third-country nationals. However, the government stressed that no agreement had been signed and that the MOU is “non-binding” and “does not trigger any immediate transfer.”
Despite these concessions, Caribbean nations remain under mounting scrutiny. The US cited security concerns around Citizenship by Investment (CBI) programmes in countries like Dominica and Antigua—accusing them of offering “golden passports” to nationals of Russia, Iran, and China without proper vetting.
Caribbean states are also grappling with the expansion of the US visa bond programme, which now applies to 38 countries including Dominica and Antigua and Barbuda. The Trump administration insists these refundable bonds, ranging from US$5,000 to US$15,000, are “an effective tool to ensure compliance with visa terms.”
Prime Minister Gaston Browne has formally objected, sending a diplomatic note to Washington arguing that Antigua has a low overstay rate and a strong record of cooperation. He also said that very few Antiguans would likely be subject to the bond.
As US deportations intensify, Caribbean nations are caught in a bind; forced to balance their economic and diplomatic ties to the US against internal public backlash and fears of destabilisation. With new agreements multiplying and visa restrictions deepening, the region must confront how to maintain sovereignty and stability while navigating an increasingly transactional US immigration policy.
Source: Caribbean Insight – Volume 48, Issue 1
28 November 2025
The US has removed key “reciprocal” tariffs on several Caribbean Community (CARICOM) exports, reversing measures that regional producers said were squeezing earnings and raising prices.
An executive order signed by US President Donald Trump on 14 November 2025 ends tariffs imposed in April 2025 and modified in August, restoring duty-free access for a number of agricultural and chemical products.
The CARICOM Private Sector Organisation (CPSO) welcomed the shift, saying it brings “important relief to regional industries that had been negatively affected by the reciprocal tariffs implemented in April 2025 and updated in August 2025”. The group had estimated that the tariff regime could cut CARICOM export revenue by about US$653.6mn per year.
According to the CPSO’s study, agriculture and food exporters faced potential annual losses of US$117.7mn, while chemicals producers risked about US$86.1mn, including fertilisers and other industrial inputs.
CPSO Chief Executive Officer and Technical Director Patrick Antoine said the findings strengthened the case for collective lobbying by CARICOM Heads of Government, who engaged US counterparts on the urgency of addressing the measures affecting critical exports from the region.
Lower duties should ease cash-flow pressures on exporters of fresh produce, processed foods and other agri-items, while helping to rebuild confidence among US buyers who had begun shifting orders.
The rollback is particularly significant for Trinidad and Tobago, CARICOM’s leading industrial exporter and the member state hardest hit in the chemicals sector. Under the earlier America First measures, exports of methanol and nitrogen fertilisers were subjected to a 15% duty. With the new order, the CPSO said goods now exempted include ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) as well as methanol and selected agri-food products.Trinidad and Tobago’s Ministry of Foreign and CARICOM Affairs reported that the country exported about TT$3bn ( US$442.2mn at current average exchange rates) in anhydrous ammonia, urea and UAN to the US in 2024. Officials expect the return to zero tariffs to restore price competitiveness in the US market and protect jobs across the fertiliser and energy value chain.
Trade and Investment Minister Kama Maharaj said the April tariffs had jeopardised the country’s largest trading relationship and posed a serious threat to the economy. He credited Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar’s sustained diplomacy for persuading Washington to reverse course, and praised her effort. “That is what world-class leadership looks like-when a leader puts country before comfort, and people before politics,” said Maharaj.
At the regional level, Antoine argued that the decision stabilises supply chains and delivers relief where it is most needed. “This decision is both timely and consequential,” he said, pointing to renewed competitiveness for Trinidad and Tobago’s chemicals exports and to the benefit for agricultural exporters across CARICOM. He noted that for Jamaica, the rollback comes as farmers rebuild after Hurricane Melissa, and stressed that “when the Community acts in a unified and coordinated manner toward a shared purpose, positive outcomes are achieved for the people of CARICOM.”
The CPSO expects the tariff removal to have knock-on effects inside the region. Several categories of imports from the US had risen in price after Caribbean firms absorbed higher costs for non-US inputs under the reciprocal regime. With those tariffs lifted, the organisation anticipates gradual reductions in input costs for agro-processing and manufacturing, providing some breathing room to firms that have faced months of uncertainty.
Trinidad and Tobago’s Foreign and CARICOM Affairs Minister Sean Sobers welcomed the change, saying he was “encouraged and grateful for this outcome, which will bring meaningful relief to exporters.” He signalled that discussions with Washington will continue to seek elimination of remaining tariffs and wider market access for both energy and non-energy goods.
For CARICOM exporters heading into peak shipping months for fertilisers and agri-food products, the order removes a major cloud over sales to their largest market. While analysts have argued that the move by the US is aimed at seeking support for its current military operations in the region, the benefits to regional exporters cannot come at a better time.
Source: Caribbean Insight – Volume 47, Issue 23
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14 November 2025
The full economic toll of Hurricane Melissa on Jamaica is rapidly escalating, with new modelling suggesting losses could exceed US$20bn, a value higher than the country’s entire 2024 economic output, even as international aid, insurance payouts and private relief efforts intensify.
Moody’s Event Response Services now estimates that overall economic losses from the Category 5 storm may surpass the equivalent of Jamaica’s 2024 GDP, far above the government’s initial damage estimate of US$6bn to US$7bn.
The modelling captures property destruction, severe business interruption, widespread infrastructure damage and non-modelled impacts such as extended shutdowns and flooding, signalling a systemic economic shock rather than a short-term setback.
Private insurance losses from Melissa across Jamaica and other affected territories, including The Bahamas, Haiti and the Turks and Caicos Islands, are projected between US$3bn and US$5bn, with a central estimate of US$3.5bn.
These losses are driven largely by wind damage to hotels, resorts and other commercial properties, with business interruption claims expected to be substantial. Verisk estimates insured losses in Jamaica alone at between US$2.2bn and US$4.2bn.
Yet the protection gap is stark. Only about 20% of Jamaican homes are insured and an estimated 95% of insured properties are underinsured, according to industry data cited by Moody’s, leaving tens of thousands of families exposed. “Most insured buildings are well-built… In contrast, uninsured residential buildings largely exhibit less stringent build quality… As a result, as Melissa’s catastrophic winds tracked across the island, immense damage was caused to several communities,” said Moody’s Managing Director of Modelling and Analytics Raj Vojjala.
The human cost is also mounting. At least 32 people have been confirmed dead in Jamaica, with dozens more killed elsewhere in the region. “All of Jamaica is going through this period of mourning and this period of pain,” said Education Minister Dana Morris Dixon. Entire communities in western parishes remain cut off as roads, bridges, electricity and telecommunications networks lie crippled. UN assessments indicate more than 1.5mn Jamaicans have been affected, over 100,000 housing structures damaged, and nearly 36,000 people in urgent need of food assistance.
Despite the devastation, Jamaica’s disaster risk financing strategy is beginning to unlock critical resources. The World Bank catastrophe bond will pay its full US$150mn trigger, while the Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility is set to deliver a record US$91.9mn payout linked to excess rainfall and high winds. Together with contingent credit from development partners, these instruments amount to roughly 4% of GDP, providing essential short-term fiscal space even as overall losses climb.
The US has pledged a total of US$22mn in humanitarian assistance so far, alongside military and civilian assets airlifting supplies into isolated communities. “We were able to bring in heavy lift helicopters… they’ve moved more than half a million pounds of life-saving aid,” said US Under Secretary Jeremy Lewin, who stressed that Washington would remain engaged “for every stage of this recovery”. Prime Minister Andrew Holness hailed the US as one of the earliest and most decisive responders, particularly in reaching marooned communities.
The global cruise industry has also rallied. Carnival Corporation, Royal Caribbean Group and Disney Cruise Line have each committed US$1mn, while Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings has pledged up to US$100,000 plus matched donations, bringing total announced cruise-sector support to more than US$3mn. Cruise vessels and cargo ships have doubled as relief platforms, delivering pallets of water, medical supplies and essential goods to Ocho Rios and other key ports as operations resume.
Jamaica’s aviation sector, crucial for both tourism and logistics, has shown early signs of resilience, with over 1,100 flights recorded in the 13 days following the storm as airports facilitated incoming aid, cargo and outbound travellers. This rapid reopening underscores both the urgency of the relief effort and the determination to stabilise a core pillar of the economy.
Holness has warned that Melissa’s impact will strain public finances and require temporary suspension of fiscal rules. But he has also framed the disaster as a turning point. “Every repaired bridge, re-roofed home and rebuilt road must be designed for the storms of tomorrow, not the storms of yesterday,” he said, vowing to harden infrastructure, modernise the grid and leverage support from partners to “build back stronger and wiser”.
For now, as debris is cleared and aid corridors expand by air, sea and land, Jamaica stands at the intersection of immense loss and unprecedented mobilisation, a stark illustration of climate vulnerability, but also of how preparedness, insurance and international solidarity can shape the path from catastrophe toward recovery.
Source: Caribbean Insight – Volume 47, Issue 22